THE FIRST LESSON FROM AFGHANISTAN
Artículo de Zvi Bar´el en "Ha´a retz" del 27-8-02
An attack takes place almost every day. Two days ago, a civil servant was
killed. The day before that, five civilians were killed in a battle between two
rival factions; two soldiers were wounded; and a foreign journalist was killed
in a car accident. A month ago, 48 civilians were killed in an aerial assault.
The army apologized and promised aid to the families. The aid has yet to arrive.
Meanwhile, the battles and the search for terrorists continue; and yesterday, a
sophisticated explosives workshop containing both explosives and materials that
could be used as chemical weapons was uncovered.
This is not the operational log of an Israel Defense Forces unit in the
territories. It is the daily reality in Afghanistan, where American and British
forces are waging an ongoing war against a legitimate target. The difficulty in
this campaign is that the United States is waging it against an organization,
not a specific target or country. This organization, as is well known, has no
territorial borders. And, therefore, alongside reports of the capture of al
Qaida members in Afghanistan, details are revealed of the deployment of Osama
bin Laden's movement throughout the world. Suspected members of the organization
have been arrested in almost every Arab state over the last few weeks, and
suspects have also been arrested in the United States and Europe.
The American administration is already hinting that it may need to extend its
military operations beyond the borders of Afghanistan, perhaps into Pakistan or
Kashmir. The operations cannot be limited merely to strikes against al Qaida
members; it will also be necessary to strike at the educational infrastructure
that breeds the terrorists. In order to destroy a movement, it is not enough to
eradicate its soldiers.
In light of all this, there has recently been a growing awareness that the
toppling of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan is likely, in the end, to be
recorded as a mere side effect of the war on terrorism, rather than as an action
that dealt a significant blow to terror in and of itself. The new leadership the
United States established in Afghanistan is, perhaps, somewhat better for the
Afghani state, but it is incapable of serving the interest for which the
previous regime was overthrown.
And as time goes on, more and more divisions are emerging in the Afghani
leadership: The defense minister has his own private army; the CIA was compelled
to forge alliances with local warlords who aid it in its war on terror in
exchange for payment; the president's legitimacy is waning; and the financial
corruption, as more and money flows into the country, has reached the dimensions
characteristic of a veteran African state.
The lesson of Afghanistan should be thoroughly studied by all those who are
demanding the elimination of the current Palestinian leadership as a way of
eliminating terrorism. The United States would not have gone to war against the
Taliban if the Taliban had extradited bin Laden. And to be frank, the Israeli
government also could not care less whether the Palestinian Authority is corrupt
or whether it protects human rights. This does not mean that Israel would not
rejoice to see a model democracy as its neighbor. But what interests the
government is the PA's ability to fight terrorism.
In this matter, the United States has been far cruder than Israel. It did not
merely demand the replacement of the Taliban regime once it concluded that this
regime was interfering with the war on terror; it replaced it itself. Now, it is
searching for evidence that this step actually did have an effect on the war
against bin Laden - and finding this evidence has proved complicated.
Israel in the territories, like the United States in Afghanistan, needs a regime
that enjoys the legitimacy required to enable it to deal with organizations that
are trying to destroy it from within. These are also the organizations, in both
countries, that produce terrorism. Dividing Hamas and Islamic Jihad from the PA
and strengthening the latter so that it would be capable of acting against the
Islamic movements would, in the end, serve Israel's interests.
Despite the Israeli view that Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the PA all share a joint
interest, one must distinguish between their different agendas: The PA wants a
state, while for Hamas and Islamic Jihad, a Palestinian state is only the first
stage. Just as is the case with bin Laden.